Company IPOs should not be viewed as a golden ticket

News & comments

17 June 2014

Buying into the excitement over companies’ Initial Public Offerings may not be a golden ticket, warns wealth manager Brewin Dolphin.

Research from the group shows that, of the seven companies that debuted on the UK stock market in the last twelve months, four are currently trading below their flotation price and only two have left investors sitting on significant gains.

“The hype surrounding the Royal Mail float may encourage people to think that buying shares when a company floats is a surefire way to make money,” warned Stephen Ford, Head of Investment Management at Brewin Dolphin. “Our experience along with our research show that people need to be far more careful than this.”

Royal Mail shares, which floated at 330 pence per share, have given their investors a gain of over 50 per cent since July last year, prompting many retail investors to feel that they missed out on profit as individual allocations were limited.

However, investors in Saga, Pets at Home and Infinis Energy are all nursing losses. Infinis shares were down almost 20pc from their flotation price at the time of writing.

Merlin Entertainments, owner of Madame Tussauds, has seen its shares rise 18pc since its debut in November last year, but Mr Ford warned that this was the exception rather than the rule.

“Investors should be careful not to get their fingers burnt,” he said. “Be aware that companies always float for a reason. One reason could be to maximise profit for the company’s current owners and as with any share investment, you should consider how well your own interests will be served by the purchase.”

ENDS

Performance of recent UK IPOs with retail allocation

Announced
Date
Issuer Name Offer Size
(M)
Offer
Price
Last Close % change
since IPO*
11/04/2013 Infinis Energy Plc 237.906 260 208.5 -19.81
10/21/2013 Merlin Entertainments PLC 1052.67 315 372.6 18.29
02/19/2014 Pets at Home Group Plc 490 245 216 -11.84
09/24/2013 Riverstone Energy Ltd 760.352 1000 890.5 -10.95
07/10/2013 Royal Mail PLC 1980 330 501 51.82
04/30/2014 Saga Ltd 550 185 179.25 -3.11
05/27/2014 TSB Banking Group PLC 362.5 tbc    

*% correct on 11.6.14

Performance of UK IPOs with retail allocation over past five years (above, below or in line with floatation price)

  Up % of total Down % of total In-line % of total Total
To Date 17 44.7 18 47.4 3 7.9 38
First Day 25 65.8 10 26.3 3 7.9 38
First Week 26 68.4 9 23.7 3 7.9 38
First Month 24 63.2 10 26.3 4 10.5 38
First Year 15 39.5 15 39.5 8 21.1 38

Performance of all UK IPOs over past five years (above, below or in line with floatation price)

  Up % of total Down % of total In-line % of total Total
To Date 107 42.0 97 38.0 51 20.0 255
First Day 169 65.8 39 15.2 49 19.1 257
First Week 153 59.5 48 18.7 56 21.8 257
First Month 136 61.8 59 26.8 25 11.4 220
First Year 72 50.0 61 42.4 11 7.6 144

The value of investments can fall and you may get back less than you invested.
No investment is suitable in all cases and if you have any doubts as to an investment’s suitability then you should contact us.
Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
The opinions expressed in this article are not necessarily the views held throughout Brewin Dolphin Ltd. No Director, representative or employee of Brewin Dolphin Ltd accepts liability for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of this document or its contents.

For further information please contact the Brewin Dolphin Press Office on 020 3201 3026#